Alternative Premier League table after 21 games, based on expected goals

Alternative Premier League table after 21 games, based on expected goals
Another round of Premier League results are in the books and the fight for the title has taken another turn.Manchester City inflicted a 2-1 defeat on Liverpool which ended the Reds’ unbeaten run and trimmed their lead at the top of the table to just four points.Sergio Aguero scored Man City’s opener in their victory over Liverpool9
Sergio Aguero scored Man City’s opener in their victory over Liverpool
And Tottenham Hotspur are hot on their heels after a straight forward 3-0 victory over Cardiff City on New Year’s Day.Elsewhere, Arsenal and Manchester United kept up their battle with Chelsea for fourth place with victories, while the Blues drew with Southampton.Ole Gunners Solskjaer has given the whole of Manchester United a lift since being appointed caretaker manager9
Ole Gunners Solskjaer has given the whole of Manchester United a lift since being appointed caretaker manager
Meanwhile, at the bottom of the pile, Burnley improved their chances of survival by beating Huddersfield Town who are four points adrift at the foot of the standings.But how has the weekends action changed the alternative Premier League table based on expected goals? Here at talkSPORT.com were always keeping an eye onUnderstat.comto see how players and clubs are performing based on their xG stats.Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below

What is expected goals?

  • Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
  • Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
  • The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
  • The xG valueof every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

20. Huddersfield Town Real position = 20Real points = 10 | Expected points = 16.8019.Newcastle United Real position = 15Real points = 18 | Expected points = 17.6718.Fulham Real position = 19Real points = 14 | Expected points = 18.9317. Burnley Real position = 16Real points = 18 | Expected points = 19.52Ashley Barnes celebrates his winner for Burnley against Huddersfield9
Ashley Barnes celebrates his winner for Burnley against Huddersfield
16. Cardiff City Real position = 17Real points = 18 | Expected points = 21.7215.Brighton and Hove Albion Real position = 13Real points = 26 | Expected points = 21.8214.Southampton Real position = 18Real points = 16 | Expected points = 23.6013.West Ham Real position = 10Real points = 28 | Expected points = 24.93Felipe Anderson has been a revelation since joining the Hammers in the summer9
Felipe Anderson has been a revelation since joining the Hammers in the summer
12. Crystal Palace Real position = 14Real points = 22 | Expected points = 27.3211. Everton Real position = 11Real points = 27 | Expected points = 27.37Marco Silva’s side suffered a fourth loss in five matches on New Year’s Day9
Marco Silva’s side suffered a fourth loss in five matches on New Year’s Day
10.Bournemouth Real position = 12Real points = 27 | Expected points = 28.139. Leicester City Real position = 7Real points = 31 | Expected points = 29.84Jamie Vardy was the hero for Leicester on New Year’s Day9
Jamie Vardy was the hero for Leicester on New Year’s Day
8. Watford Real position = 8Real points = 29 | Expected points = 30.457.Arsenal Real position = 5Real points = 41 | Expected points = 32.366. Manchester United Real position = 6Real points = 38 | Expected points = 33.48Pogba has been a player reborn under Solskjaer9
Pogba has been a player reborn under Solskjaer
5.Wolverhampton Wanderers Real position = 9Real points = 29 | Expected points = 33.554. Tottenham Hotspur Real position = 3Real points = 48 | Expected points = 36.22Tottenham cruised to victory over Cardiff9
Tottenham cruised to victory over Cardiff
3.Chelsea Real position = 4Real points = 44 | Expected points = 43.032.Liverpool Real position = 1Real points = 54 | Expected points = 47.061. Manchester City Real position = 2Real points = 50 | Expected points = 47.78Fernandinho was influential in Man City’s win over Liverpool9
Fernandinho was influential in Man City’s win over Liverpool



Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match. Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
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But how would the Premier League table look if it was based on results calculated by 'Expected Goals'? Here at talkSPORT.com we're always keeping an eye on Understat.com to see how clubs are performing based on their xG stats. Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below…
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Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match. Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
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